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TRENTON, N.J. - JerseyDesk -- Governor Murphy appeared on News 12's Ask the Governor on May 28th. The governor was asked a question by Wake Up NJ about why isn't there voter ID in NJ. After saying he doesn't think voter ID should be required to cast a vote in NJ, he explained, "the chances are significantly, meaningfully, higher that either you or I will be hit by lightning than we will find voter fraud. The video can be played at: https://twitter.com/wakeupnj/status/17955904268... (https://x.com/wakeupnj/status/1795590426818167243)
The governor did not provide support for his claim, so Citizens for New Jersey Election Integrity offered to assist. Unfortunately for the governor, the data contradicts him.
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There have been 2 lightning strike fatalities in NJ since the governor rose to power in 2017. Divide that figure into a population count (that does not include undocumented residents) 9,320,865, and the chance over the span of 6 years is 0.000021%.
For the calculation of the chance of fraud recently, the FBI complaint against Atlantic City's organizer Craig Calloway for his 2022 mail-in ballot for money scheme was used. The FBI documented 4 fraudulent ballots cast (and clearly the scheme involved more). The ongoing case of 2 Paterson, NJ councilmen indicted for voter fraud after allegedly stealing their elections in 2020 is not needed for this calculation. Divide the 4 Atlantic City ballots by all the votes cast in the NJ general election of 2022: 2,658,149, and the chance is 0.00015%.
So it turns out you are 7 times more likely to find voter fraud instances in NJ (in just one election) than be struck by lightning over 6 years.
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Sources:
http://lightningsafetycouncil.org/LSC-Lightning... (https://t.co/aBaN6GsRUY) https://worldpopulationreview.com/states/new-je... (https://t.co/2uOalyToGa)
https://justice.gov/usao-nj/media/1336841/dl?in... (https://t.co/tYeMa0HIT3)
https://nj.gov/state/elections/assets/pdf/elect... (https://t.co/bMDxbEMjl0)
The governor did not provide support for his claim, so Citizens for New Jersey Election Integrity offered to assist. Unfortunately for the governor, the data contradicts him.
More on Jersey Desk
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There have been 2 lightning strike fatalities in NJ since the governor rose to power in 2017. Divide that figure into a population count (that does not include undocumented residents) 9,320,865, and the chance over the span of 6 years is 0.000021%.
For the calculation of the chance of fraud recently, the FBI complaint against Atlantic City's organizer Craig Calloway for his 2022 mail-in ballot for money scheme was used. The FBI documented 4 fraudulent ballots cast (and clearly the scheme involved more). The ongoing case of 2 Paterson, NJ councilmen indicted for voter fraud after allegedly stealing their elections in 2020 is not needed for this calculation. Divide the 4 Atlantic City ballots by all the votes cast in the NJ general election of 2022: 2,658,149, and the chance is 0.00015%.
So it turns out you are 7 times more likely to find voter fraud instances in NJ (in just one election) than be struck by lightning over 6 years.
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Sources:
http://lightningsafetycouncil.org/LSC-Lightning... (https://t.co/aBaN6GsRUY) https://worldpopulationreview.com/states/new-je... (https://t.co/2uOalyToGa)
https://justice.gov/usao-nj/media/1336841/dl?in... (https://t.co/tYeMa0HIT3)
https://nj.gov/state/elections/assets/pdf/elect... (https://t.co/bMDxbEMjl0)
Source: Citizens for New Jersey Election Integrity
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